Our Presidential Electoral Vote Tracker

[PennSkinsFan]

Latest polling in Mass looks like Scott Brown is toast. Fourth straight poll showing Warren leading by +5 or more. Latest has he leading by 5, but even better, at 52%

[PennSkinsFan]

We have added a surprising Senate seat. Nebraska has gone from SAFE GOP to LEAN GOP. two polls taken today shw the race within 3 points. It looked like a safe GOP pick, and likely will be, but these two different polls show significant tightening.

[PennSkinsFan]

We have moved the Connecticut Senate seat from Toss Up to LEAN DEM. Chris Murphy is beginning to pull away from Linda McMahon.

[PennSkinsFan]

We have moved the North Dakota Senate race back to TOSS UP from Lean GOP. A new poll released today has the Republican Senator leading by just 2 points. That follows a poll a few days ago showing the lead down to 5 points. The two points is well within the margin of error of the poll, and that is back to back polls showing DEM challenger Heitkamp

[PennSkinsFan]

After a release of big time battleground polls this morning, two states have gone to over 3.0 polling averages. For the first time in two weeks, we move states. The President has picked up 16 EVs. We move Iowa and Wisconsin from Toss Up to LEAN OBAMA.

The race now stands at

Obama 259
Romney 191
Tossup 88

Additionally, the true battleground Toss Ups are Virginia, Florida, and North Carolina. These states were leaning Obama before the first debate. Then they began moving toward Romney after the first debate. Since then, Romney momentum ebbed and these states are near dead ties. You can throw Colorado in that mix as well.

[PennSkinsFan]

We waited until the last minute, but we finally flip Ohio to Lean Obama from Toss Up. This state is not a Toss Up by any sense of the word. Polling averages of late consistently have this state at 4 to 5 point Obama lead and all those polls are also showing a substantial Obama advantage in early voting. There is a reason that the Super PACS are concentrating on PA. Because they lost Ohio. Bleed stopper.

[PennSkinsFan]

We have moved the Indiana senate race from Toss Up to LEAN DEM. Donnelly has opened up an 11 point lead over Mourdock, more than likely, resulting from his rape comments. This is an Open GIOP seat created by the defeat in the primary of Richard Lugar. This seat could pad an already assumed DEM majority in the US Senate.

[PennSkinsFan]

We have moved New Hampshire from Toss Up to LEAN OBAMA. Polling averages now have Obama leading +3.5. That moves Barack Obama to 281, Mitt Romney at 191 and just 66 left in toss ups.

[PennSkinsFan]

We have moved Minnesota from Lean Obama to Safe Obama. I don't believe this state was really ever in play, nor do I believe Michigan or Pennsylvania are in play.

[PennSkinsFan]

Time to put our projections out there the weekend before the election. Monday we will have all final projection with no toss ups.

Senate races:

Lean DEMS:

Connecticut
Indiana
Massachusetts
Michigan
New Mexico
Ohio
Pennsylvania

We are projecting them DEMOCRAT.