CURRENT: Barack Obama: 303 Mitt Romney: 235
NEED 270 TO WIN


FINAL ELECTORAL PROJECTION: 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

OBAMA SAFE/STRONG

California (55 electoral votes)
Delaware (3 electoral votes)
District of Columbia (3 electoral votes)
Hawaii (4 electoral votes)
Illinois (20 electoral votes)
Maine (4 electoral votes)
Maryland (10 electoral votes)
Massachusetts (11 electoral votes)
Minnesota (10 electoral votes)
New Jersey (14 electoral votes)
New York (29 electoral votes)
Rhode Island (4 electoral votes)
Vermont (3 electoral votes)
Washington (12 electoral votes)
Connecticut (7 electoral votes)
New Mexico (5 electoral votes)
Oregon (7 electoral votes)

LEAN OBAMA

Colorado (9 electoral votes) Obama +6 (11/5), Obama +1 (11/4), TIE (11/4), Romney +2 (11/3), Obama +2 (11/2), Obama +4 (11/2), TIE (11/2), Romney +1 (11/2), Obama +2 (11/1), Obama +1 (11/1), Romney +3 (11/1), AVG: Obama +.9

Iowa (6 electoral votes) Obama +1 (11/4), Obama +2 (11/4), Obama +5 (11/3), Obama +3 (11/3), Obama +4 (11/2), Obama +3 (11/1), Obama +6 (11/1) AVG: Obama +3.4

Michigan (16 electoral votes) Obama +7 (11/4) TIE (11/4), Obama +6 (11/3), Obama +6 (11/2), Obama +5 (11/2), Obama +8 (11/1), Obama +8 (10/31) AVG: Obama +5.7

Nevada (6 electoral votes) Obama +4 (11/5), Obama +4 (11/4), Obama +6 (11/1), Obama +4 (11/1), Obama +6 (10/28) AVG: Obama +5.0

New Hampshire (4 electoral votes) Obama +4 (11/5), TIE (11/5) Obama +5 (11/4), Obama +5 (11/4), Obama +2 (11/4), TIE (11/3), Obama +6 (11/2), Obama +2 (11/1) AVG: Obama +3.4

Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes) Obama +3 (11/5), Obama +8 (11/4), TIE (11/4), Obama +3 (11/4), Obama +6 (11/3), Obama +4 (10/31) AVG: Obama +4.0

Ohio (18 electoral votes) Obama +5 (11/5), Obama +2 (11/5), Obama +4 (11/5), Obama +1 (11/5), Obama +3 (11/5), Obama +6 (11/4), Obama +2 (11/5), Obama +6 (11/4), Obama +6 (11/4), Obama +8 (11/4), Obama +2 (11/4), Obama +3 (11/4), Obama +4 (11/4), Obama +4 (11/3), Obama +6 (11/3), Obama +1 (11/3), Obama +4(11/3), Obama +6 (11/3), Obama +3 (11/2), Obama +4 (11/2), Obama +2 (11/2), Obama +6 (11/1) AVG: Obama +4.0

Virginia (13 electoral votes) Obama +8 (11/5), Romney +2 (11/5), Obama +1 (11/5), Obama +1 (11/5), Obama +4 (11/4), Obama +6 (11/4), Obama +2 (11/4), Obama +1 (11/4), Obama +3 (11/3), Obama +1 (11/3), Obama +5 (11/2), +2 Obama (11/1), Obama +3 (11/1), Obama +3 (11/1), Romney +1 (11/1), AVG: Obama +2.4

Wisconsin (10 electoral votes) Obama +1 (11/5), Obama +4 (11/4), Obama +7 (11/3), Obama +3 (11/3), Obama +5), Obama +7 (11/2), Obama +9 (11/1), Obama +3 (11/1), TIE (11/1) AVG: Obama +4.3


ROMNEY SAFE/STRONG

Georgia (16 electoral votes)
Indiana (11 electoral votes)
Montana (3 electoral votes)
Nebraska (1 electoral vote)
South Carolina (9 electoral votes)
Alabama (9 electoral votes)
Alaska (3 electoral votes)
Arkansas (6 electoral votes)
Idaho (4 electoral votes)
Kansas (6 electoral votes)
Kentucky (8 electoral votes)
Louisiana (8 electoral votes)
Mississippi (6 electoral votes)
Missouri (10 electoral votes)
Nebraska (4 electoral votes)
North Dakota (3 electoral votes)
Oklahoma (7 electoral votes)
South Dakota (3 electoral votes)
Tennessee (11 electoral votes)
Texas (38 electoral votes)
Utah (6 electoral votes)
West Virginia (5 electoral votes)
Wyoming (3 electoral votes)

LEAN ROMNEY

Arizona (11 electoral votes) Romney +7 (11/2), Obama +2 (10/13), Romney +9 (10/3) AVG: Romney +4.6

Florida (29 electoral votes) Obama +5 (11/5), Romney +2 (11/5), Romney +5 (11/5), Obama +1 (11/5), Romney +2 (11/5), Obama +2 (11/4), Romney +2 (11/4), Romney +1 (11/4), Obama +1(11/4), Obama +2 (11/3), TIE (11/3), Romney +6 (11/3), Obama +2 (11/3), Obama +2 (11/2), Obama +1 (11/1), TIE (11/1), AVG: TIE

North Carolina (15 electoral votes) TIE (11/5), Romney +2 (11/4), Romney +1 (11/1), TIE, (10/31), TIE (10/28), Romney +1 (10/26) AVG: Romney +.6


FINAL 2012 US SENATE PROJECTIONS: DEM: 52 GOP 46 INDEP: 2

Contested Seats: GOP 10, DEM 21
Open Seats: GOP 4, DEM 6

SAFE DEM: CA, DE, FLA, HAW, MD, MICH, MN, NJ, NY, RI, WA, WV

DEMOCRAT WIN

Connecticut: Current: DEM (retirement) - Murphy (D), McMahon (R) - Murphy +9 (11/2), Murphy +6 (10/28), Murphy +6 (10/25), Murphy +6 (10/23), Murphy +2 (10/23), Murphy +5 (10/23), Murphy +7 (10/18), Murphy +6 (10/9)

Indiana: Current: GOP (retirement) - Donnelly (D), Mourdock (R) - Donnelly +3 (11/3), Donnelly +11 (11/2), Mourdock +1 (10/28), TIE (10/26), Donnelly +7 (10/26), Donnelly +2 (10/24), Mourdock +5 (10/15), Donnelly +1 (9/27) OPEN GOP SEAT

Massachusetts: Current GOP (Sen. Brown)[/B] Warren +4 (11/4), Warren +6 (11/2), Warren +7 (10/30), Brown +2 (10/28), Warren +5 (10/27), Warren +6 (10/23), Warren +9 (10/18), Warren +6 (10/12)

Michigan: Current: DEM Incumbent - Stabenow (D), Hoekstra (R) - Stabenow +15 (9/17), Stabenow +6 (9/16)

Missouri: Current: DEM Incumbent - McCaskill (D), Akin (R) -McCaskill +15 (11/5), McCaskill +4 (11/4), McCaskill +3 (10/31), McCaskill+2 (10/27), McCaskill +13 (10/27), McCaskill +6 (10/21), McCaskill +7 (10/19), McCaskill +6 (10/3), McCaskill +6 (10/3), McCaskill +6 (10/3)

Montana: Current: DEM incumbent - Tester (D) Rehberg (R) - Tester +2 (11/4), Tester +1 (11/2), Tester +2 (10/28), Tester +2 (10/17), TIE (10/17), Rehberg +3 (9/23)

New Mexico: Current: DEM (retirement) - Heinrich (D), Wilson (R) - Heinrich +8 (10/29), Heinrich +7 (10/26), Heinrich +10 (10/1)

Ohio: Current: DEM incumbent - Brown (D), Mandel (R) - Brown +3 (11/5), Brown +10 (11/4), Brown +6 (11/4), Brown +5 (11/3), Brown +9 (10/31), Brown +2 (10/31), Brown +11 (10/28), Brown +1 (10/28) Brown +9 (10/22), Brown +5 (10/20), Brown +5 (10/18)

Pennsylvania: Current: DEM Incumbent Casey (D) v. Smith (R) - Caey +6 (11/4), Casey +1 (11/4), Casey +8 (11/3), Casey +10 (10/31), Casey +7 (10/27), Casey (+1) (10/26), Casey +12 (10/25), Casey +8 (10/22), Casey +13 (10/19), Smith +4 (10/17) Casey +7 (10/16), Casey +3 (10/16)

Virginia: Current: DEM (retirement) Kaine (D) v. Allen (R) - Kaine +4 (11/5), Kaine +3 (11/5), Kaine +2 (11/5), Kaine +6 (11/4), Kaine +4 (10/31), Allen +5 (10/31), Kaine +7 (10/28), Allen +2 (10/27), Kaine +1 (10/26), Kaine +1 (10/21), Kaine +5 (10/18)

Wisconsin: Current: DEM (retirement) Baldwin (D) v. Thompson (R) - Baldwin +3 (11/3), TIE (11/2), Baldwin +1 (11/1), Baldwin +4 (10/31), Thompson +1 (10/28), Baldwin +4 (10/19), Thompson +1 (10/16), Baldwin +4 (10/

SAFE GOP: MISS, TN, TX, UT, WY

GOP WIN

Arizona: Current: GOP (retirement) - Carmona (D), Flake (R) - Flake +5 (11/4), Flake +6 (10/25), Carmona +4 (10/24), Carmona +4 (10/13), Carmona (+2 (10/3)

Nevada: Current: GOP Incumbent - Berkley (D), Heller (R) - Heller +2 (11/5), Heller +6 (10/31), Heller +1 (10/28), Heller +3 (10/25), Heller +5 (10/25), TIE (10/24), Heller +7 (10/17)

North Dakota: Current: GOP Incumbent - Heitkamp (D), Berg (R) - Berg +2 (10/30), Berg +5 (10/23), Berg +10 (10/20), TIE (10/8)