Our Presidential Electoral Vote Tracker

[PennSkinsFan]

Another state to keep an eye on is Arizona. With Battlegrounds shrinking and Obama gaining commanding lead in once battle grounds like Iowa, Nevada, and Ohio, the Obama campaign is looking to start spending cash in Arizona.

[PennSkinsFan]

We have made a swap. New Hampshire moves to Lean Obama and Iowa move from Lean Obama back to TOSSUP. It is a net loss of 2 for Obama

[PennSkinsFan]

Missouri Senate seat is moving from TOSS UP to LEAN DEM as incumbent Claire McCaskill is looking safe with consistent 6 point leads.

[PennSkinsFan]

We have moved the Arizona Senate Race from Lean Republican to TOSS UP.

[AubieTom]

So Barack has 275 does that mean there is no reason to vote?

[PennSkinsFan]

So Barack has 275 does that mean there is no reason to vote?

Nah. Just a fun estimate based on latest polls. This thing will shift so much over the next month as swing state polls fluctuate. It has already shifted a few times. Just a fun thing to do.

[PennSkinsFan]

So Barack has 275 does that mean there is no reason to vote?

We did it four years ago and were pretty damn close. Within a week of the Election, I will get rid of Toss Ups and make a call on each one and see where our projection lands compared to actual results. We were withing 10 electoral votes in 2008.

[PennSkinsFan]

Latest swing state polls show some movement toward Romney after the debate in FLA, OH, and VIR. We will see what the impact is in a few days on the unemployment rate falling to 7.8%

We have shifted Ohio back to TOSS UP from Lean Obama, netting a 18 EV loss to Obama.

[PennSkinsFan]

North Dakota senate seat becomes a toss up with a new poll showing race tied t 47-47

[PennSkinsFan]

One movement today,. one getting ready to move. We have moved Pennsylvania from Safe Obama to Lean Obama. We are getting ready to move NC. Latest poll shows Romney +9, however, four prior polls were 1 point leads. Need to see another one before moving to Lean Romney.