Can the Redskins win the NFC East this weekend?

[jporterweb]

So, I just sat down and did the math and if I'm correct, we could clinch the East with a win and a Dallas & NY Loss. Here's how the tiebreakers work.

Two Clubs

1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.

Three or More Clubs

(Note: If two clubs remain tied after third or other clubs are eliminated during any step, tie breaker reverts to step 1 of the two-club format).

1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games among the clubs).
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.

So if we win and the other 2 lose this week, that will put us at 9-6 & the others at 8-7. Our Division record could then end no less than a tie with Dallas and would beat the NYG. So, NY is eliminated and it moves between Dallas and Washington. We could do no worse than a tie with Dallas in the division. We would then be tied with Dallas in common games at 8-5. That would bring it down to conference record between us and Dallas. When we beat Philly this weekend that will give us a conference record of 7-4 and a loss to New Orleans would drop Dallas to 5-6.

Common Games between Washington & Dallas

OPP-----WASH------DAL
Saints-----W---------L
Bengals----L---------W
Bucs------W---------W
Falcons----L---------L
Steelers---L---------W
Panthers---L---------W
Eagles-----W---------W
Giants-----W---------L
Ravens----W---------L
Browns----W---------W
Eagles-----W---------W
Vikings----W---------L
Giants-----L---------W

Wins------8---------8
Losses----5---------5

If Div doesn't count towards common games it would still be 5-4 v 5-4.

Anyone care to check my math and how I'm figuring this?