First movement for Barack Obama in awhile. Obama gains 6 EVs. WE have moved Nevada from Toss Up to Lean Obama.
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First movement for Barack Obama in awhile. Obama gains 6 EVs. WE have moved Nevada from Toss Up to Lean Obama.
We have moved the ND Senate race to Lean GOP. A poll on 10/8 showed a tie, but a poll today showed Berg +10. WE think this is an easy GOP seat, but we will move to Safe GOP if we see one additional poll showing the race at +8 or more.
One thing we promise, the night before the election, we will have no Toss Ups. We will call all states and then see where the chips fall election night. We were pretty close to the results in 2008 in our old forum, a mere 8 electoral votes off. We shall do the same here.
Plethora of swing state polls today.
Ohio polls range from a Romney +1 lead to an Obama +5 lead. Overall, it appears to be a 2-3 point Obama lead.
Pennsylvania, range of four polls released today range from Obama +3 to Obama +10. What does it mean? What do people tell me in PA, since I am in PA and was involved, PA is going to go to Obama, the question is, how big.
New Hampshire was a bit of a surprise today. According to University of NH, Obama has gone from a +1 lead after debate #1 to a +9 after second debate. Obama has not seen much debate bounce, but NH could be one state he did.
Two polls in WISC give Obama +3 to +5 lead.
Welcome to the show NBC News. You are now at 243-206-89. We have been at that for 2 weeks.
Plus, the Toss Ups we have had listed for three weeks have pretty much been what both Presidential campaigns agree are the remaining toss ups.
Looks like we have been pretty damn accurate thus far.
TIME released an Ohio poll today with all samples taken post debate 3. They show an Obama lead of +5. They also have early voting in their poll at 60-30 for Obama
We are moving Nevada senate race back from Lean GOP to TOSS UP. Latest poll released today is a dead lock tie and early voting gives DEM Berkley a 51-39 advantage over Sen. Heller. Early voting could be the decider in this one. Depends on how many have early voted.
The last two polls in VIR show Oabma +5 and +7. PPP poll is showing a clear debate bounce in its first poll that is completely done after the third debate. Their poll prior to the third debate had Obama +2. This one has Obama +5.
We have moved North Carolina from Lean Romney back to Toss Up. Last two polls show Obama +3 and dead even tie. This lowers Romney from 206 EVs to 191.
We are close to moving Wisconsin from Toss Up to Lean Obama
According to multiple polls today, it is appearing more than likely that Barack Obama may have received a post-debate bounce. First, in daily trackers, with the PPP poll, Obama moves to a one point lead for the first time in three weeks. At Gallup, the mystifying 7 point Romney lead has narrowed to 3.
State polls were very good for Obama today. PA and Wisconsin show +6 for Obama. Iowa shows +2 for Obama but a 68-32 lead with early voters. A new Virginia poll shows Obama expanding a lead to 5, that follows a poll by TIME in Virginia showing Obama at +6.
Whatever post debate 1 Romney momentum that occurred has not only apparently subsided, but in some battleground states like WISC and VA, Obama appears to have received a bounce.
Finally, we move North Carolina back to TOSS UP from Lean Romney. Two days ago a poll was released that showed Obama +3. Today, a new poll shows a dead even tie. Good enough to make that a toss up.